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	<title>Report on Probability A</title>
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		<title>Report on Probability A</title>
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		<item>
		<title>The Problem of Induction: Solved</title>
		<link>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/29/the-problem-of-induction-solved/</link>
		<comments>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/29/the-problem-of-induction-solved/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:49:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>plantsleantowardsthesun</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Conversations with my Uncle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philosophy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/?p=11</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Chris: If a tree falls in the woods and no one is there to hear it, does it make a sound? Ben: Well, its impossible to be certain of anything which is outside of your perception &#8211; its like if you go from one room into another room you can&#8217;t really be certain if the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5206124&amp;post=11&amp;subd=plantsleantowardsthesun&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chris: If a tree falls in the woods and no one is there to hear it, does it make a sound?</p>
<p>Ben: Well, its impossible to be certain of anything which is outside of your perception &#8211; its like if you go from one room into another room you can&#8217;t really be certain if the room you were in before is still really there&#8230;</p>
<p>Chris: Yes you can.</p>
<p>Ben: No&#8230;all you have is a rule derived from induction &#8211; you think, because the things in that room <em>were</em> perceived by me earlier that means when I go back in they will be again &#8211; and so you infer, without certainty, that the things in that room have an existence which persists even when you&#8217;re not perceiving them. But you can&#8217;t be sure that they exist unless you are perceiving them&#8230;</p>
<p>Chris: Yes. You can &#8211; Look&#8230;</p>
<p><em>Chris leaves the room and shuts the door.</em></p>
<p>Chris:(<em>From outside)</em> Can you hear me?</p>
<p>Ben: No.</p>
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		<title>Short Rumination on Living in a Glass House</title>
		<link>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/17/short-rumination-on-living-in-a-glass-house/</link>
		<comments>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/17/short-rumination-on-living-in-a-glass-house/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Oct 2008 14:25:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>plantsleantowardsthesun</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Meta-ethics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/?p=9</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If it wasn&#8217;t for the wind and rain, would we have built dwellings at all? If there was wind and rain and the most abundant building material was glass would we all now live in glass houses with no urge for privacy? What I&#8217;m asking, I guess, is whether or not the need for privacy, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5206124&amp;post=9&amp;subd=plantsleantowardsthesun&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If it wasn&#8217;t for the wind and rain, would we have built dwellings at all? If there was wind and rain and the most abundant building material was glass would we all now live in glass houses with no urge for privacy? What I&#8217;m asking, I guess, is whether or not the need for privacy, the need to be alone, is something intrinsic to us or something we learned? And if we found out the answer, would we really give a shit? Difficult indeed to explain the origins of these drives we have&#8230;</p>
<p>etc.</p>
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		<title>Safety = Liberty? Hmm&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/17/safety-liberty-hmm/</link>
		<comments>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/17/safety-liberty-hmm/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Oct 2008 14:08:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>plantsleantowardsthesun</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freedom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terrorism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/?p=6</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The latest big brother initiative is upon us &#8211; the government is about to take charge of a huge database which will store records of phone and email conversations, websites visited and so forth. The argument that&#8217;s being tossed around is the old &#8220;if you&#8217;ve got nothing to hide, why are you worried about being [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5206124&amp;post=6&amp;subd=plantsleantowardsthesun&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The latest big brother initiative is upon us &#8211; the government is about to take charge of a huge database which will store records of phone and email conversations, websites visited and so forth. The argument that&#8217;s being tossed around is the old &#8220;if you&#8217;ve got nothing to hide, why are you worried about being monitored?&#8221; chestnut, to which I would respond: &#8220;why don&#8217;t I live in a glass house?&#8221; What&#8217;s forgotten in this argument is the value that people place on privacy and anonymity, not because they are up to something dodgy, just that the fact of being scrutinised is inherently unpleasant, and bound to alter the way you behave. Try going about your daily life with a camera perpetually pointed at you face, recording and analysing your every move.</p>
<p>Of course we should sacrifice the luxury of our privacy if we&#8217;re scared shitless about something &#8211; or so goes the argument of the mighty Geoff Hoon. &#8220;The greatest civil liberty is not to be killed by a terrorist,&#8221; he says. Not, you might note, a car. Odd really, because cars kill thousands of people in Britain every year whereas terrorism has killed less than 40 in the past four years. The reason we don&#8217;t ban cars is because the risks associated with them are seen as an acceptable trade off for the freedom they confer on us. The government, in relation to terrorism, seems to equate &#8220;liberty&#8221; with a life totally free from risk which is a perversion of the concept; in order to have freedom, you must have risks. Just allowing people to move freely and without supervision carries risks with it, yet no society which places wide restrictions on movement would be seen as a free society.</p>
<p>Is it really so absurd, as the government would claim, that people see an ulterior motive in this conflation of &#8220;safety&#8221; and &#8220;liberty&#8221;, when it is applied to terrorism but not to transport or, say, economics? Gordon Brown used to praise the risk takers of the free market, and said that the country&#8217;s economic policies should be based on such risk taking. The argument for this approach was that taking risks can lead to great benefits; and it <em>can</em>. Freedom is one of those benefits. For me freedom means being able to satisfy one&#8217;s desires without obstruction &#8211; if our desire for life was stronger than other desires none of us would ever cross a road, none of us would ever leave our homes. If we were in that state then yes, I suppose we&#8217;d agree to these extreme measures being taken over terrorism, but I don&#8217;t think that anyone is in that state. Isn&#8217;t the whole reason we cherish freedom that simply existing is not enough?</p>
<p>Anyway &#8211; no matter what the government say to reassure us we should resist any mass surveillance initiative. Not because the government is a totalitarian state, or has totalitarian ambitions, just because if, at some time in the future a government arises which does have sinister motives (consider the rising popularity of the BNP) it would be better if they didn&#8217;t already have the apparatus of a totalitarian state ready and waiting for them.</p>
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		<title>Abortion is probably not a good subject to start with. None the less&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com/2008/10/17/hello-world/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Oct 2008 09:38:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>plantsleantowardsthesun</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[things which will probably provoke outrage and disgust]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I just saw a bit of an interview with Sarah Palin where the talk turned to abortion, which Palin is in favour of making illegal. She was confronted by the host with this moral conundrum: if a girl is raped by her father and becomes pregnant as a result, Palin&#8217;s policy would be that the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=plantsleantowardsthesun.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5206124&amp;post=1&amp;subd=plantsleantowardsthesun&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just saw a bit of an interview with Sarah Palin where the talk turned to abortion, which Palin is in favour of making illegal. She was confronted by the host with this moral conundrum: if a girl is raped by her father and becomes pregnant as a result, Palin&#8217;s policy would be that the girl would be forced to have the child. Palin&#8217;s response to this was that she would &#8220;counsel the girl to choose life.&#8221;</p>
<p>Right. Abortion. The question which divides people on this issue is whether depriving an embryo of its life is equivalent to what we would call murder. An answer to this is currently, and possibly for all time, obscure &#8211; biologically I suppose the argument is that an embryo is not developed enough to have true consciousness, however the fact remains that consciousness, its nature and origins, is still a mystery to us; the nature of the interaction between the physical and the mental has been a subject of debate for centuries and is still seen as one of the fundamental problems of philosophy. The argument from religion postulates that we all possess a soul from the moment we enter the physical world, and until the above problem is solved, claims such as this cannot be disproved. Where am I? Well, to say that abortion is the moral solution to the above conundrum we have to accept that the well being of the mother has a greater value than whatever life it is that an embryo possesses. For the above reasons I don&#8217;t think that a rational, logical argument will ever be able to establish whether or not this is the case.</p>
<p>At this point, as this is a blog, I suppose I&#8217;d better weigh in with my opinion&#8230;I&#8217;m not sure that I&#8217;m in favour of abortion, for the same reason that I think a lot of people are not in favour of abortion: I find it impossible to say that destroying something that will, at least, become a person, is ever an acceptable moral choice. We don&#8217;t know what the psychical nature of an embryo is &#8211; we don&#8217;t know if it could experience pain, if it could experience emotion &#8211; but we do have an idea of what it will eventually become, a <span style="font-style:italic;">living</span> being like ourselves&#8230;and a root principle of most moral systems is a feeling, not a principle, that life must be protected and maintained. Not because we&#8217;ve reasoned it out, but because we <span style="font-style:italic;">feel</span> that life has to be protected and cherished. So there&#8217;s my position; I&#8217;m happy to just listen to my emotions on this issue.</p>
<p>So. I&#8217;m probably against abortion and so is Palin. Hooray. But is she really? Lets have a look at her response to the question that she would &#8220;counsel the girl to choose life.&#8221; Palin has made it clear that she wants abortion to be made illegal, so we could question that value of her &#8220;counselling&#8221; in a situation where the girl would in any case be forced to take her advice. This, I think, reveals the big problem in the abortion debate: the people who will have the real power to affect abortion laws simply haven&#8217;t thought through the implications of their respective positions. Palin was forced here to use soft language: &#8220;counsel&#8221;, to defend her position &#8211; to me that is a representation of a climb down; if she really stuck by her opinion her answer to the conundrum would have been &#8220;yes, I do believe it should be illegal for the girl to have an abortion.&#8221; What she was faced with was an attack on the idea that the issue of abortion is clear cut enough to warrant an absolutist response such as &#8220;abortion should be illegal.&#8221; This kind of slip makes it clear that Palin&#8217;s (and in turn McCain&#8217;s) position on the issue isn&#8217;t one of principle (Palin showed an obvious confusion as to what her principles in fact were). What Palin is doing is pandering to voters who <span style="font-style:italic;">do </span>have a principled position on the issue, however dogmatic and unpalatable that position may be.</p>
<p>Right, I&#8217;ll stop with the polemic &#8211; if we are faced with a choice of the mother&#8217;s wellbeing verses the embryo&#8217;s we will get nowhere through arguing. What if we accept that we just don&#8217;t know the answer; in this case I think we&#8217;d have to accept that we should take a course of action which reflects the needs of both. If we just make abortion illegal we are condemning someone to a life of suffering, inflicted upon her through no fault of her own &#8211; if we don&#8217;t want abortion to take place what is needed is a system that prevents this suffering, that does whatever is necessary to make sure that the mother&#8217;s life could go on as it would have done had the child not been born, and also that tries to give the child as normal a life as is possible under the circumstances. The problem here is that those who want abortion illegalised generally don&#8217;t favour any kind of welfare program either.</p>
<p>Anyway, that&#8217;s just a rough sketch of my views (wrong or right, I really have no idea). The paragraph above doesn&#8217;t really take into account all of the issues that would arise from giving birth to a child as the result of an incestuous rape &#8211; just that I really do see two victims of such an atrocity, both of whom need to be cared for if it&#8217;s at all possible to do so. Basically, it would be nice if we made decisions on these issues based on emotion (and a little bit of reason just to grease the gears) rather than religious dogma and &#8220;political realities.&#8221;</p>
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